Heat and altitude change how World Cup matches are played, and who they favor
11 June 2026
At the 2014 World Cup, players sprinted 5% less in the hottest matches. Fourteen of 16 host cities in 2026 are forecast past that heat line, and pressing teams stand to lose the most.
Sprints fell about 5% in the 2014 heat
George Nassis and colleagues studied all 64 matches from the 2014 World Cup in Brazil and found that high environmental heat cut sprints by roughly 5% and pulled down high-intensity running. 1 Players ran less at top speed, ran more at low intensity, and completed more passes to compensate.
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